FIFA 2026世界杯D组预测

FIFA World Cup 2026 小组 D Predictions & AnalysisOddsFlow AI predictions for 小组 D: 美国, 巴拉圭, 澳大利亚, 土耳其. Qualification probabilities, head-to-head match analysis, and team ratings powered by Dixon-Coles model with 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

小组 D Teams🇺🇸 美国🇵🇾 巴拉圭🇦🇺 澳大利亚🇹🇷 土耳其Head-to-Head Match PredictionsAustralia vs Paraguay — AI PredictionWin: 36.0% | Draw: 27.5% | Win: 36.5% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 43.6% | BTTS: 49.6%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.1%), 1-0 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.3%), 0-0 (8.7%), 2-1 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 70% / U1.5 30% | O2.5 44% / U2.5 56% | O3.5 23% / U3.5 77%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 26% / Away 74% | AH -0.5: Home 36% / Away 64% | AH +0: Home 50% / Away 50% | AH +0.5: Home 64% / Away 36% | AH +1: Home 74% / Away 26%

Australia vs Türkiye — AI PredictionWin: 29.0% | Draw: 26.0% | Win: 45.0% | Expected Goals: 1.1-1.5 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 47.3% | BTTS: 52.2%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (9.5%), 1-0 (8.7%), 0-2 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 73% / U1.5 27% | O2.5 47% / U2.5 53% | O3.5 25% / U3.5 75%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 20% / Away 80% | AH -0.5: Home 29% / Away 71% | AH +0: Home 42% / Away 58% | AH +0.5: Home 55% / Away 45% | AH +1: Home 67% / Away 33%

Australia vs USA — AI PredictionWin: 36.1% | Draw: 27.0% | Win: 36.9% | Expected Goals: 1.3-1.3 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 46.3% | BTTS: 51.4%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.0%), 0-1 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.8%), 0-0 (8.2%), 2-1 (8.1%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 72% / U1.5 28% | O2.5 46% / U2.5 54% | O3.5 25% / U3.5 75%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 26% / Away 74% | AH -0.5: Home 36% / Away 64% | AH +0: Home 50% / Away 50% | AH +0.5: Home 63% / Away 37% | AH +1: Home 73% / Away 27%

Türkiye vs Paraguay — AI PredictionWin: 44.2% | Draw: 26.4% | Win: 29.4% | Expected Goals: 1.4-1.1 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 47.1% | BTTS: 51.8%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.5%), 0-1 (8.9%), 2-0 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 73% / U1.5 27% | O2.5 47% / U2.5 53% | O3.5 25% / U3.5 75%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 33% / Away 67% | AH -0.5: Home 44% / Away 56% | AH +0: Home 57% / Away 43% | AH +0.5: Home 71% / Away 29% | AH +1: Home 80% / Away 20%

Paraguay vs Australia — AI PredictionWin: 36.0% | Draw: 28.2% | Win: 35.7% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 43.9% | BTTS: 50.2%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.7%), 1-0 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.8%), 0-0 (8.5%), 2-1 (7.8%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 70% / U1.5 30% | O2.5 44% / U2.5 56% | O3.5 23% / U3.5 77%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 26% / Away 74% | AH -0.5: Home 36% / Away 64% | AH +0: Home 50% / Away 50% | AH +0.5: Home 64% / Away 36% | AH +1: Home 75% / Away 25%

Paraguay vs Türkiye — AI PredictionWin: 29.8% | Draw: 25.6% | Win: 44.7% | Expected Goals: 1.1-1.4 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 47.4% | BTTS: 51.2%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.0%), 0-1 (11.5%), 1-2 (9.0%), 1-0 (8.6%), 0-2 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 72% / U1.5 28% | O2.5 47% / U2.5 53% | O3.5 25% / U3.5 75%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 20% / Away 80% | AH -0.5: Home 30% / Away 70% | AH +0: Home 43% / Away 57% | AH +0.5: Home 55% / Away 45% | AH +1: Home 67% / Away 33%

Paraguay vs USA — AI PredictionWin: 35.4% | Draw: 27.4% | Win: 37.3% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.3 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 45.3% | BTTS: 50.7%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.0%), 0-1 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.0%), 0-0 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 70% / U1.5 30% | O2.5 45% / U2.5 55% | O3.5 24% / U3.5 76%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 25% / Away 75% | AH -0.5: Home 35% / Away 65% | AH +0: Home 49% / Away 51% | AH +0.5: Home 63% / Away 37% | AH +1: Home 73% / Away 27%

Türkiye vs Australia — AI PredictionWin: 44.5% | Draw: 26.1% | Win: 29.4% | Expected Goals: 1.4-1.1 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 47.4% | BTTS: 52.0%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (8.6%), 0-1 (8.3%), 2-0 (8.1%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 73% / U1.5 27% | O2.5 47% / U2.5 53% | O3.5 26% / U3.5 74%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 33% / Away 67% | AH -0.5: Home 44% / Away 56% | AH +0: Home 57% / Away 43% | AH +0.5: Home 71% / Away 29% | AH +1: Home 80% / Away 20%

Türkiye vs USA — AI PredictionWin: 44.2% | Draw: 25.3% | Win: 30.5% | Expected Goals: 1.5-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 49.2% | BTTS: 53.2%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.2%), 2-0 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 74% / U1.5 26% | O2.5 49% / U2.5 51% | O3.5 27% / U3.5 73%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 33% / Away 67% | AH -0.5: Home 44% / Away 56% | AH +0: Home 57% / Away 43% | AH +0.5: Home 69% / Away 31% | AH +1: Home 79% / Away 21%

USA vs Australia — AI PredictionWin: 38.2% | Draw: 26.4% | Win: 35.4% | Expected Goals: 1.3-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 46.1% | BTTS: 51.3%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.0%), 1-2 (8.3%), 2-1 (8.2%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 71% / U1.5 29% | O2.5 46% / U2.5 54% | O3.5 24% / U3.5 76%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 27% / Away 73% | AH -0.5: Home 38% / Away 62% | AH +0: Home 51% / Away 49% | AH +0.5: Home 65% / Away 35% | AH +1: Home 75% / Away 25%

USA vs Paraguay — AI PredictionWin: 36.7% | Draw: 27.9% | Win: 35.4% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 44.4% | BTTS: 50.4%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.6%), 1-0 (10.8%), 0-1 (10.1%), 0-0 (8.4%), 2-1 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 71% / U1.5 29% | O2.5 44% / U2.5 56% | O3.5 24% / U3.5 76%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 26% / Away 74% | AH -0.5: Home 37% / Away 63% | AH +0: Home 51% / Away 49% | AH +0.5: Home 65% / Away 35% | AH +1: Home 75% / Away 25%

USA vs Türkiye — AI PredictionWin: 29.7% | Draw: 25.5% | Win: 44.8% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.5 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 49.5% | BTTS: 53.0%

Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.1%), 0-1 (10.6%), 1-2 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.1%), 0-2 (8.0%)

Over/Under Lines: O1.5 74% / U1.5 26% | O2.5 49% / U2.5 51% | O3.5 28% / U3.5 73%

Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 21% / Away 79% | AH -0.5: Home 30% / Away 70% | AH +0: Home 42% / Away 58% | AH +0.5: Home 55% / Away 45% | AH +1: Home 67% / Away 33%

Other GroupsGroup A: Mexico, South Africa, Korea Republic, CzechiaGroup B: Canada, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Qatar, SwitzerlandGroup C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, ScotlandGroup E: Germany, Curaçao, Côte d'Ivoire, EcuadorGroup F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, TunisiaGroup G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New ZealandGroup H: Spain, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia, UruguayGroup I: France, Senegal, Iraq, NorwayGroup J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, JordanGroup K: Portugal, Congo DR, Uzbekistan, ColombiaGroup L: England, Croatia, Ghana, PanamaWorld Cup 2026 HubAll Match Predictions48 Participating NationsGroup StandingsAI PerformanceAI Methodology — How We Predict